Daily Florida hurricane-season check for August 24, 2026: The National Hurricane Center is monitoring two Atlantic formation areas. Both have a medium 50 percent chance of formation during the next seven days. Formation chances describe development, not destination; this outlook does not establish a forecast track toward Florida, and conditions can change.
Quick Read
- Official text issue time: 2:00 AM EDT Monday, August 24, 2026.
- Product: ABNT20 KNHC 240526 / TWOAT.
- Area covered: The North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of America.
- Areas being monitored: Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL95) and Eastern Tropical Atlantic.
- Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL95): Formation chance through 48 hours—medium, 50 percent. Formation chance through 7 days—medium, 50 percent.
- Eastern Tropical Atlantic: Formation chance through 48 hours—low, 10 percent. Formation chance through 7 days—medium, 50 percent.
- Active tropical cyclones: None listed in this Atlantic outlook. AL95 is a designated disturbance, not yet a tropical cyclone.
- Florida/Treasure Coast: The outlook does not establish a Florida track or local landfall threat.
What NHC Is Monitoring
Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL95)
NHC says showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure are located a few hundred miles southeast of Bermuda. Further development is possible, and the system could become a short-lived tropical depression or storm during the next couple of days while moving northward and north-northeastward, well northeast of Bermuda.
- Formation chance through 48 hours: medium—50 percent.
- Formation chance through 7 days: medium—50 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic
NHC says a tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa later today, and an area of low pressure could form with the wave early this week. Environmental conditions are forecast to be marginally conducive for development. A tropical depression could form by the middle to latter portions of the week while the system moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
- Formation chance through 48 hours: low—10 percent.
- Formation chance through 7 days: medium—50 percent.
Important: These percentages are formation probabilities, not probabilities of reaching Florida. NHC does not provide a Florida track or landfall forecast for either area in this outlook. A 50 percent formation chance does not mean a 50 percent chance of affecting the Treasure Coast.
What This Means for the Treasure Coast
For Port Saint Lucie, Jensen Beach, Fort Pierce, and Vero Beach, today’s outlook is a cue to stay aware and keep routine hurricane-season preparations current—not a reason to assume a local storm is coming. AL95 is southeast of Bermuda and is expected to move northward and north-northeastward, well northeast of Bermuda. The eastern Atlantic wave is only beginning to emerge from Africa and has no forecast track toward Florida in this outlook.
Tropical systems and probabilities can change between NHC issuances. Recheck the linked official products, and follow local emergency-management instructions if watches, warnings, or evacuation orders are issued.
Practical Hurricane-Season Tech Check
- Charge power banks and test the cables used by every household phone.
- Confirm important documents and irreplaceable photos have a backup that is not stored only on one computer.
- Save account-recovery details and critical contacts somewhere available during an internet outage.
- Enable emergency alerts on each phone and test a battery-powered weather radio.
- Review family, pet, medication, and evacuation plans before a storm threatens.
- Small businesses should test cloud backups, UPS batteries, remote-access procedures, and a simple staff communication plan.
Official Sources and Preparedness Links
- NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook text product
- NHC Seven-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
- NHC hurricane preparedness guidance
- Florida Division of Emergency Management: Plan and Prepare
Reporting cutoff: 7:05 AM EDT (11:05 UTC) on August 24, 2026. This report reflects the NOAA/NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook issued at 2:00 AM EDT and the official seven-day graphic valid at 1:26 AM EDT. Conditions can change; recheck the linked NHC products for the newest information.