Daily Florida hurricane-season check for August 14, 2026: The National Hurricane Center is monitoring two areas across the tropical Atlantic. Their seven-day formation chances are 30 percent and 50 percent. The outlook does not identify a current Florida threat, landfall forecast, or forecast track. Conditions and formation chances can change, so Treasure Coast residents and businesses should keep checking official updates.
Quick Read
- Official issue time: 2:00 AM EDT Friday, August 14, 2026.
- Product: ABNT20 KNHC 140528 / TWOAT.
- Area covered: The North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of America.
- Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): Formation chance through 48 hours: low—30 percent. Formation chance through 7 days: low—30 percent.
- Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL94): Formation chance through 48 hours: low—30 percent. Formation chance through 7 days: medium—50 percent.
- Florida/Treasure Coast: This outlook does not provide a Florida track or landfall forecast. Formation chance describes whether a disturbance may develop, not where it will go.
What the National Hurricane Center Is Monitoring
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92)
NHC says showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave about 650 miles east of the Lesser Antilles have continued to become less organized. Increasing upper-level winds and dry air are reducing the possibility of development. Regardless of development, NHC advises interests in the Lesser Antilles to monitor the system because gusty winds and areas of heavy rain are possible there Friday night and Saturday.
- Through 48 hours: low—30 percent.
- Through 7 days: low—30 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL94)
NHC says a tropical wave several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Conditions are forecast to be generally conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form late this week or this weekend while the wave moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
- Through 48 hours: low—30 percent.
- Through 7 days: medium—50 percent.
What This Means for the Treasure Coast
For Port Saint Lucie, Jensen Beach, Fort Pierce, and Vero Beach, today’s Atlantic outlook is a reason to stay informed—not a signal to assume a Florida impact. Neither monitored area has a forecast track or Florida landfall forecast in this product. Tropical outlooks are updated routinely and can also change between scheduled issuances.
Check the latest official NHC products before making weather decisions, and rely on local emergency-management instructions if watches or warnings are ever issued for our area.
Practical Hurricane-Season Tech Check
- Charge power banks and test the cables needed for every household phone.
- Confirm important documents and irreplaceable photos have a backup that is not stored only on one computer.
- Save key contacts and account-recovery information somewhere you can access during an internet outage.
- Enable emergency alerts on each phone and keep a battery-powered weather radio available.
- Review your family, pet, medication, and evacuation plans before a system becomes an immediate concern.
Official Sources and Preparedness Links
- NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook text product
- NHC Seven-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
- Ready.gov hurricane preparedness
- Florida Division of Emergency Management: Plan and Prepare
Source note: This report reflects the NOAA/NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook issued at 2:00 AM EDT on August 14, 2026, and the official seven-day graphic timestamped 1:28 AM EDT. Forecasts and formation chances can change. Recheck the linked NHC products for the newest information.